Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 5.925421 6.530663 7.176037 7.916288 8.742978 9.638995 10.685302
2025-12-07 4.913248 5.734865 6.668586 7.811837 9.178739 10.766539 12.759244
2025-12-14 4.118860 5.046706 6.159910 7.601905 9.431936 11.692220 14.718837
2025-12-21 3.581136 4.578144 5.832771 7.541523 9.829698 12.818313 17.067055
2025-12-28 3.250853 4.318272 5.720919 7.721152 10.536245 14.410721 20.240672
2026-01-04 2.970848 4.083671 5.603865 7.863882 11.192561 16.000857 23.630266
2026-01-11 2.704092 3.831745 5.426506 7.887930 11.666083 17.370963 26.879336
2026-01-18 2.452991 3.571575 5.203407 7.808770 11.961046 18.491222 29.883138
2026-01-25 2.231851 3.330592 4.979430 7.694916 12.175534 19.494008 32.820155
2026-02-01 2.040128 3.114014 4.768022 7.571449 12.349296 20.435775 35.770696
2026-02-08 1.872169 2.917822 4.567594 7.439696 12.485278 21.316304 38.723036
2026-02-15 1.743091 2.771432 4.431862 7.398252 12.765348 22.472627 42.350074
2026-02-22 1.660346 2.695994 4.409613 7.556352 13.432054 24.441591 47.938465
2026-03-01 1.548737 2.562439 4.276865 7.503975 13.704226 25.702398 52.302701
2026-03-08 1.429162 2.405146 4.088908 7.330687 13.724368 26.470430 55.747335
2026-03-15 1.342011 2.297187 3.978192 7.289099 13.994509 27.773103 60.592542
2026-03-22 1.294910 2.256563 3.984906 7.472142 14.737113 30.158658 68.363521
2026-03-29 1.246043 2.208450 3.972962 7.615951 15.413770 32.493413 76.453800
2026-04-05 1.186307 2.135234 3.906987 7.642908 15.841953 34.330389 83.647822
2026-04-12 1.119543 2.043556 3.797699 7.568723 16.037501 35.655682 89.760858
2026-04-19 1.054475 1.950333 3.677836 7.460093 16.141714 36.776672 95.538477
2026-04-26 0.993640 1.861035 3.558804 7.341606 16.208878 37.815429 101.292157
2026-05-03 0.936743 1.775600 3.441086 7.214773 16.241449 38.771558 107.001074